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Polls measuring opposition to the proposed pulp mill (October - November 2007)

Posted April 21st, 2008 by admin

 

12 November 2007 Roy Morgan poll

An opinion poll of 552 voters from across Australia was conducted Roy Morgan re the pulp mill. (The exact wording of the questions was not reported). Results:

  • 70% were aware the Tasmanian Government had approved a Gunn's pulp mill to be built in the Tamar valley.
  • 52% believed there should be a Federal Government inquiry to review the pulp-mill process.
  • 24% of voters approved of the mill, 46% disapproved and 30 % were unsure.

Source: http://www.news.com.au/mercury/story/0,22884,22750209-921,00.html   

 

12 November 2007 EMRS poll on support for the pulp mill

The Wilderness Society commissioned EMRS to conduct a statewide poll of 1022 respondents about their attitude towards building the proposed pulp mill. Results:

  • In favour 37%;
  • Opposed 54%;
  • Unsure 10%.

Source www.wilderness.org.au  

 
9 November 2007 EMRS poll on voter intentions

A poll of voter intentions for the federal election in the seat of Lyons was conducted by EMRS. Question: For which candidate would you vote in the November 24 federal election? Results: 

  • Adams (ALP) 46%
  • Page (Lib) 29%
  • Cassidy (Greens) 13%
  • Quin (Independent) 8%
  • Unsure 5%

Number of voters surveyed 400
Source: Ben Quin, http://www.benquin.com.au/ 

 

30 October 2007 Hobart City Council elector poll

An elector poll was conducted in conjunction with local government election for the Hobart City Council. Electors were asked to answer yes or no to the following questions:
1. Do you agree with the process used to assess the proposed pulp mill in the Tamar valley?

  • Yes 23%
  • No 77%

Number of votes 4856

2. Do you agree with the type of pulp manufacture proposed?

  • Yes 26%
  • No 74%

Number of votes 4348

3. Do you agree with the location of a pulp mill of the proposed type in the Tamar valley?

  • Yes 23%
  • No 77%

Number of votes 4801

Source: http://www.electoral.tas.gov.au/

 

4 October 2007 The Age newspaper online poll

Question: Was Malcolm Turnbull right to give the green light to Gunns' proposed pulp mill?

  • Yes - 12%
  • No - 88%

Total Votes: 3653

 

Source: http://www.theage.com.au/polls/results.html  

 

4 October 2007 The Sydney Morning Herald online poll

SMH conducted an online poll re Turnbull’s decision on the pulp mill. Question: Do you agree with Turnbull's decision to approve it with conditions?

 

  • Yes, there are strict controls to protect the environment - 17%
  • No, I don't believe the safeguards will work - 83%

Total votes: 7052
Source: http://www.smh.com.au/polls/national/results.html    

 

3 October 2007 Marketmetrics Research poll on voter preferences

The Wilderness Society commissioned Marketmetrics Research Melbourne to conduct 492 telephone interviews with people aged 18+ living in the Federal electorates of Bass and Braddon, Tasmania, from Friday 28th September to Monday 1st October 2007. Respondents were selected randomly across the electorates and within households;233 in Bass and 259 in Braddon were interviewed. The confidence interval of percentages is between 3% and 4%. Progress results:

Question 1. Based on what you know or have heard, would you say you are strongly in favour of the proposed pulp mill in Tamar Valley, somewhat in favour, somewhat against, strongly against or undecided about the proposed pulp mill?

Bass 

  • Strongly in favour 19%
  • Somewhat in favour 14%
  • Somewhat against 10%
  • Strongly against 46%
  • Don’t know/No opinion 11%
  • Total in favour 33%
  • Total against 56%


Braddon

  • Strongly in favour 17%
  • Somewhat in favour 24%
  • Somewhat against 13%
  • Strongly against 33%
  • Don’t know/No opinion 12%
  • Total in favour 42%
  • Total against 46%


Total for Bass and Braddon

  • Strongly in favour 18%
  • Somewhat in favour 20%
  • Somewhat against 12%
  • Strongly against 39%
  • Don’t know/No opinion 11%
  • Total in favour 38%
  • Total against 51%


Question 2. If the Federal Liberal Party Minister for the Environment, Malcolm Turnbull, decided to stop the Tamar Valley pulp mill how would this affect your vote in the coming Federal election – would you be more likely to vote Liberal, less likely to vote Liberal or would it make no difference?

Bass

  • More likely to vote Liberal 27%
  • Less likely to vote Liberal 6%
  • Make no difference 66%
  • Don’t know 1%


Braddon

  • More likely to vote Liberal 14%
  • Less likely to vote Liberal 11%
  • Make no difference 72%
  • Don’t know 3%


Total Bass and Braddon

  • More likely to vote Liberal 20%
  • Less likely to vote Liberal 9%
  • Make no difference 69%
  • Don’t know 2%


Question 3a. From the following list can you tell me which three are likely to be the most important issues that will decide how you vote at the federal election this year?

  • Political leadership 11%
  • Healthcare 65%
  • Education 39%
  • The industrial relations laws 24%
  • Interest rates 12%
  • Logging of Tasmania’s native forests 20%
  • Climate change 19%
  • Housing affordability 19%
  • Security and the war on terrorism 8%
  • The Tamar Valley Pulp Mill 43%
  • Management of the economy 18%
  • Australian jobs and protection of local industries 15%
  • Don’t know *


Question 3b. And of those three, what do you think is likely to be the single most important issue that will decide how you vote at the federal election this year?

  • Healthcare 33%
  • The Tamar Valley Pulp Mill 17%
  • The industrial relations laws 9%
  • Climate change 7%
  • Management of the economy 7%
  • Political leadership 6%
  • Education 5%
  • Australian jobs and protection of local industries 4%
  • Housing affordability 4%
  • Interest rates 3%
  • Logging of Tasmania’s native forests 2%
  • Security and the war on terrorism 2%
  • Don’t know 2%


Voting intention - Bass

  • Liberal 30%
  • National Party 1%
  • Labor 43%
  • Democrat -
  • Green 18%
  • Family First 1%
  • Other/independent 2%
  • Don’t know 4%
  • Refused 1%

Two party preferred: Liberal 39%, Labor 61%

Voting intention - Braddon

  • Liberal 33%
  • National Party *
  • Labor 51%
  • Democrat -
  • Green 9%
  • Family First -
  • Other/independent 1%
  • Don’t know 5%
  • Refused 1%

Two party preferred: Liberal 39%, Labor 61%

Source:Wilderness Society www.wilderness.org.au  

 

2 October 2007 The Australian online poll

The Australian newspaper conducted a nation wide online poll about the importance of the environment. Question: What rank will "green" issues have compared to other factors (economy, health, education etc) in determining your vote? Results:

  • Top priority 36%
  • Second 20%
  • Third 14%
  • Fourth 13%
  • Unsure 1%

Number of votes, 4343
Source: http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/